Day D

In June 1944, the allied forces of UK, US, Canada, NZ and Australia launched what what was then, and remains, the largest most grave and probably most risky seaborne invasion of a foreign continent. D day.

The Nazi atrocity was to be confronted. Eventually, successfully. Europe would be liberated.

In June 2023, I’m crossing from Dunkirk, France to Dover, England. 79 years later and in the wrong direction, but over the same stretch of water.

I will remember them.

The deafening silence

Excess mortality. An actuarial phrase, if ever you wanted one. It means the number of people dying in excess of what would have happened if prior mortality trends had continued.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has just released its latest excess mortality report. For the nine months to 30 September 2022, the number of deaths relative to the recent typical time periods was 16% more than normal. That is to say, there were 19,986 more deaths than typical for that 9 month period, based on population and mortality trends of recent times.

19,986 is quite surgically precise when it comes to national statistics. Let’s round it to 20,000. Gross it up from 9 months to 12: around 26,000 deaths more than usual per year.

That sounds like a lot. I would imagine that the Australian media, the scientific community, the medical profession, the undertakers’ associations, the municipal councils associations (graveyard plots planning division), the legal profession and the actuarial profession would all be investigating or calling loudly for investigations. Finally, I would expect the politicians to be demanding answers – what is going on?

I haven’t heard any such calls.

Basement software coder tries to extrapolate knowledge of computer code to saving humanity. Not entirely successful.

A co-founder of a behemoth software business, Mike Cannon-Brookes, is in the media now after a spectacular collapse of his dream extension cord business. His plan remains to build a giant solar panel wind farm and a big battery in Australia, and plug that into Singapore via a gigantic cable that traverses more than 5,000 km of the earth, mainly undersea. The project’s other main financier wanted the project scrapped and scaled down into a purely domestic affair. MCB didn’t agree and predictably the project business has collapsed into receivership this week.

Mike knows a few computer languages, I expect. But does he know much about physics? Possibly not, although he could be in the process of learning.

Or maybe not. He also assumed he knew a thing or two about pandemics. Here he is a lambasting Sweden for its public health response to Covid.

And here is the full story.

Sweden 1, MCB 0.

As to the giant extension cord, I expect the result will be Physics 1, MCB 0.

‘Scientists say’ losing effectiveness, scientists say

For decades, newspaper editors have loved to append ‘, scientists say’ to the headline of any story that they felt could do with a credibility boost. It was code to their readers: you must not argue with this story’s conclusions. The same applied to documentaries on pay TV.

But in a recent piece in the Washington Post, the editors appear to have jumped the shark. Even scientists are now saying that the scientists studying sharks are the wrong sort of scientists.

It’s a toss up as to what is funnier about this piece: that a scientist is getting upset about a science show based on the fact that the scientists were called Mike, or that the WaPo published it.

Let the good times roll.

There are many versions of the song Let the Good Times Roll. All of them are worth playing now. If you want my suggestion try Earl King’s version.

The times are looking good. Wokism has destroyed itself by being so vile that nobody has not seen it for what it is. I’m optimistic that starting with next week’s mid term elections in the US that a massive wave has been unleashed to sweep away the toxic garbage of modern left wing politics everywhere.

The silent majority is both silent (until election day) and the majority. Let the good times roll. Left wing politics is about to be booted into oblivion for decades. That will be so sweet. I’m more optimistic than I have been for years.

Updated population forecasts for China

Some readers may remember this post from last year where I included a UN forecast of China’s future population numbers.

It seems the UN has updated its forecast. Furthermore, a number of other institutions have forecasts that are even more pessimistic.

The implications of this, if borne out in practice, are significant. We will know in a few years if the peak has passed and the downward trend has commenced.

The imminent de-industrialisation of Europe

The de-industrialisation of Europe is now inevitable and imminent. With it will probably come political regime change. It will be rapid and dramatic, and most likely occur in the northern spring of 2023.

The seeds of this looming crisis have been sown over the last decade.

Firstly, European political power structures have done what they always do – become ever tightened; ever divergent from the wants, needs, values and expectations of the citizenry; increasingly reliant on the state controlled forces of the police, military and more recently media, technology and finance companies to censor and crush domestic political dissent; and never able to admit error or change policies.

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