There appears to be little doubt that many doctors have been conflicted in their efforts to deal with Covid19.
This film asks reasonable questions of one doctor in particular.
Foot fault
Djokovich has done the Australian people a service. The cancellation of his visa after arriving in Australia for the Australian Open tennis grand slam will attract a lot of media attention globally. At this stage, global attention on Australia’s COVID19 rules is welcome.
Continue readingPredicting what won’t happen in 2022
It is normal around this time that people consider the upcoming year and even make predictions about what may happen. This year, I’m not going to do that. Instead, I will make predictions about what won’t happen in 2022.
Continue readingWhat’s this warning about?
www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-59542211
Who is she warning and why? What does she think should be done about it?
If no action is necessary then why issue a warning?
The latest COVID strain
It’s the Omicron strain. Or as I prefer, the OMG strain. Viruses mutate, particularly so in response to mass vaccination. No surprises in this quarter. This strain is likely to consider both the vaxxed and the unvaxxed as fair game.
Update: increased government restrictions as a result of this strain apply to all people regardless of vaccination status. The UK has gone even further: to remain classed as vaccinated, booster jabs are now to required once every three months. (Cognitive dissonance alert for those readers who prefer government actions to be coherent.)
What has been achieved by over 25 years of subsidies to renewable energy?
The world runs on fossil fuels. So soon after the latest climate gabfest, this time in Glasgow, and the strategic oil reserve is being opened up. Certain foot-stamping teenagers will not be happy.
If the vaccines work, why aren’t they working?
That’s odd, don’t you think?
No mystery here
It’s not a mystery at all. Unless you think the Left care about the poor and vulnerable. Once you understand that they don’t, it all makes sense. Pursuit of political power is the real game.
Australians should be grateful to the US founders
The Australian constitutional convention to establish the Federation in 1901 closely followed the US model that had been established in 1776. We should be grateful for the wisdom and foresight of both. A Federation of States has the advantage of internal constrained competition.
In both the US and Australia, interstate migration is increasing. Victoria is well on the way to self destruction due to decades of Labor government. Whether it’s deliberate or accidental can be discussed. Both are plausible. The end result is the same. Migration out of states like Victoria in Australia and California in the US after leftist government naivety, wilful stupidity or deliberate destruction is on the rise. That couldn’t happen in a one jurisdictional state, such as Austria, for example. The Austrian Government is trying to impose a lockdown on the unvaccinated citizens. Memories appear to be short in Austria. Not even long enough to remember what happened in 1939.
While certain Australian States are doomed, the country is not necessarily so. NSW looks to be a beacon.
About that modelling….
Readers may recall that I said the Burnet Institute’s COVID modelling from September 2021 should be revisited in late October to check the actual outcomes against the modelling predictions. It is now late October. The following actual data is sourced from covidlive.com.au
Predicted deaths: 964
Actual deaths: 280
Predicted hospitalisations: 1,666
Actual: 738
Predicted intensive care cases: 360
Actual: 130
What does this comparison of actual against expected prove? The modelling was wrong, of course. It was wrong by a factor of around 3 in these measures. Modelling is just a guess based on certain assumptions. Burnet’s modelling was clearly poor quality, but many modellers around the world have been proven to be just as bad or worse. The real lesson is that modelling is not gospel truth and should not be held up as justification for a government coercion on the populace. Nor should the modelling be used to prove how effective those coercive measures were: ‘See how much worse it would have been had we not imposed the lockdown?’ Modelling may have some uses, but should only ever be one input among many. Modellers that have a track record of dud predictions should be treated with scepticism or, preferably, ignored.
Australian Actuary 